原标题：注意防范！台风“梅花”或登陆浙江 明天局地有特大暴雨今起（9月13日）三天，受台风“梅花”影响，浙江将现明显风雨天气，其中明天将为降水影响核心时段，局地有特大暴雨侵袭，当地需加强防范。昨天，浙江全省大部地区高温“熄火”，仅常山一地出现高温天气。 "Remember what happened in 1983? Two days after 241 Marines were blown up in Lebanon, the USA invaded tiny Grenada. Overnight, the previous headlines disappeared. I think we are seeing the same today. NATO is losing badly in Ukraine and it’s going to be a long winter for the West. Pounding its imperial chest with Taiwan is now what the MSM is reporting, much less so Ukraine," suggests Jeff J. Brown, author of "The China Trilogy," editor at China Rising Radio Sinoland, and curator of the Bioweapon Truth Commission.,If Pelosi travels to Taiwan, this would be the first time a high-ranking US politician visits the place in 25 years. Last time it was Newt Gingrich, then-speaker of the US House of Representatives, who arrived on the island in 1997, ignoring the Chinese leadership's discontent.,"I said firmly, 'We want you to understand, we will defend Taiwan. Period,'" Gingrich told the press at the time, as quoted by The New York Times. However, Clinton administration officials made it clear that Gingrich "was speaking for himself.",Likewise, it appears that Pelosi's apparent visit to Taiwan is not in line with the Biden administration's China policy, argues Francesco Sisci, a Beijing-based China expert, author, and columnist.,"American politics is not set like an omniscient Leviathan," the China expert says. "The Congress, the Senate, the executive all move according to different agendas which do not often coincide and are in conflict with one another. The issue is that there is a growing anti-Beijing sentiment in America and this has sometimes bursts which aren’t fully sorted out. I believe the visit is an expression of a sentiment, rather than of a clear cut plan.",According to CNN, Pelosi's initiative has triggered concerns both in the Biden administration and the Pentagon, with US national security officials "quietly working to convince House Speaker Nancy Pelosi of the risks of her potential trip to Taiwan." While in 1997 Beijing and Washington managed to solve the dilemma, this time the PRC leadership might opt for a harsher response, CNN and The Guardian have warned.,US Military Expansion in Asia-Pacific is Part of Plan to Take on Russo-China Tandem, Scholar Says28 July, 16:15 GMT,Washington has been fanning US-Sino tensions for quite a while, starting with Donald Trump's tariff war against Beijing, which has yet to be halted by Joe Biden. In a candid phone conversation, Chinese President Xi Jinping warned his American counterpart against "playing with fire" over Taiwan and explained that any involvement would ultimately backfire on the US.,"A Chinese general has publicly declared that Pelosi’s visit could entail a military response from Beijing," Brown says. "China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has repeated this. Now, with Xi’s 'You get burned playing with fire' metaphor, I think there would be a military response.",Senior Colonel Tan Kefei, a spokesperson for China's Ministry of Defense, stated on July 26: "If the US insists on taking its own course, the Chinese military will never sit idly by, and it will definitely take strong actions to thwart any external force's interference.",Tan highlighted that Pelosi's visit to Taiwan would "seriously violate the one-China principle" and "seriously harm China's sovereignty and territorial integrity, and seriously damage the political foundation of China-US relations.",Meanwhile, Brown surmises that China's hypothetical response "might include a declared no-fly zone." However, there is a "much more elegant option," according to the author:,"[China could] take over Taiwan’s Kinmen Island, which is only two kilometers from Xiamen, off China’s Fujian Province coast. It would take only a few hours. I do not think Beijing will strike any US targets, unless attacked first.",North Korea Ready to Mobilize Nuclear Deterrence Forces at Any Moment - Kim Jong Un28 July, 01:13 GMT,The scholar also does not rule out that the Democratic People's Republic of Korea's (DPRK) remark, made earlier this week, that Pyongyang is “fully prepared” for any military conflict with the United States is no coincidence.,"Does Biden know that China and nuclear-armed North Korea have had a mutual defense treaty since 1961?" Brown asks rhetorically. "NATO is being bled dry in Ukraine and it is imperial folly, hubris or geopolitical brinkmanship to think it can fight East Asia’s biggest and most powerful military, which is only 200 km from Taiwan.",For his part, Sisci believes that the PRC could opt for an asymmetrical non-military response. Still, the unfolding crisis is complicated by the fact that Washington is already involved in a confrontation with Russia, raising questions as to whether the US is capable of taking on Moscow and Beijing at once.,"I don’t think that either China or the US wants an escalation," says Sisci. "The talk between Biden and Xi Jinping was to avoid an escalation.",Brown also believes that Beijing's warnings have been heard by Washington.,"Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan has been bandied about by Washington for months now," he says. "A supposed Covid-19 infection scuttled the first trial balloon. After Biden’s phone call yesterday with Xi, I suspect another American 'postponement' is likely to occur. If not, then 'Katy, bar the door!'"。受台风“梅花”外围云系影响，舟山、宁波等地都出现了较为明显的降水。
B | 据中央气象台消息，今晨5时，今年第12号台风“梅花”加强为强台风级，其中心位于浙江省象山县南偏东方向大约490公里的海面上，中心附近最大风力有14级（42米/秒）。预计，“梅花”将以每小时10-15公里的速度向偏北转西北方向移动，强度还将有所加强，逐渐向浙江温岭到舟山一带沿海靠近，并将于14日下午至夜间在上述沿海地区登陆（台风级或强台风级，38-45米/秒，13-14级）；登陆后，“梅花”将继续向西北方向移动，强度逐渐减弱。
C | 浙江省气象台预计， 受台风“梅花”外围云系影响，今天宁波、舟山、绍兴、台州、嘉兴、杭州东部等地部分暴雨，局部大暴雨。来源：中国天气网明天是降雨的核心影响时段，浙江各地雨势将增强，浙北和浙中的东部地区有暴雨，部分大暴雨，局地特大暴雨。后天，浙西北地区部分中到大雨，局部暴雨。今天下午起，浙江沿海的风力也将增强。
D | 预计，浙江中部北部沿海海面： 东北风7-8阵风9级并逐渐增强到8-9阵风10级，明天东到东北风10-12级并继续增强到13-15级，局部16级以上。浙江南部沿海海面： 偏北风7级阵风8-9级并继续增强到8-9级阵风10级，明天西北风转西南风并继续增强到10-12级。杭州湾水面： 东北风6-7阵风8级并逐渐增强到7-8阵风9级，明天东到东北风9-17级并继续增强到11-13级，局部14级以上。
E | 气象部门提醒，浙江明天将进入风雨影响核心时段，当地公众需密切关注台风预警预报信息，过往船只及时回港避风。
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